Latest Oregon and Kentucky Polls

If it’s Tuesday then it’s primary time and the latest polls are out for Kentucky and Oregon. It looks like it’s going to be a push with Hillary Clinton taking Kentucky and Barack Obama winning Oregon. The question is by how much will they win by???

I really, REALLY don’t think it matters a whole lot because the chances are that Obama will end up having a majority of the state delegates by the end of the night barring anything new from the Democratic committee on Florida and Michigan. What could be interesting is how many super delegates Will be jumping ship on Hillary come the next few days.

One thing in Hillary Clinton’s favor tonight is that she is predicted to win Kentucky by about 30 percent taking the average of all the polls. Barack Obama is expected to win Oregon by about 12 percent of the vote so the chances are that Clinton will pick up a few more delegates than Barack does tonight. There are 51 delegates up for grabs in Kentucky and 52 delegate votes in Oregon.

It’s not so much the delegates won tonight that could make a little bit of difference as it is the popular vote. Most likely Hillary will gain quite a few popular votes over Barack Obama tonight which is all that Clinton can really hope for at this point in the Democratic nomination process. If she can somehow win the popular vote by the end of the primaries she may have an argument to get some of the super delegates to cast their vote for her. If she doesn’t win the popular vote (remember Florida and Michigan don’t count right now) she should make for a good speaker at the convention.

Click Here for the Latest Oregon Polls at Real Clear Politics
Click here for the Latest Kentucky Polls at realclearpolitics.com

Will there be a Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton ticket for the democratic presidential party? Right now I’m laying the odds at about 65 percent that the two of them will be the democratic ticket. More to come on that another time.

Our predictions for tonights primarys and we haven’t hit one dead on yet is that Hillary Clinton will win Kentucky by 33 percent and Barack Obama will win Oregon by 12 percent.

That said our thoughts and prayers go out to Senator Edward Kennedy in which news just came out about him having a brain tumor. Click Here for More Info about Senator Kennedy’s Health and Brain Tumor.

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May 20, 2008 | Filed Under 2008 US Presidential Election 

Comments

One Response to “Latest Oregon and Kentucky Polls”

  1. Jamie Holts on May 20th, 2008 2:33 pm

    I discovered your homepage by coincidence.
    Very interesting posts and well written.
    I will put your site on my blogroll.
    :-)

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